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first tendencies - from BBC - regarding the count


Rempler

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As the poll is closed (as far as I can see from 5575 miles away) I dare to copy some lines, broadcasted by BBC 5 minutes ago, - just as I've learnt by phone that in some regions in the North East of Thailand TV cannot be seen for a few hours due tue heavy thunderstorms having damaged some transmission units:

BBC {Correspondents: Alex, Brighton (UK) }

==> Thais await crunch poll outcome <==

* Analysts say Mr Thaksin's political troubles could be far from over

Votes are being counted in the Thai general election, ==> as early indications suggest abstentions outnumbered votes for the prime minister in some areas. Thaksin Shinawatra was reported to be trailing the "no vote" in parts of the capital Bangkok, although rural support from him is expected to be strong. <==

The PM called the election - boycotted by the three main opposition parties - to try to end protests against him. Mr Thaksin says he will step down if his party fails to win 50% of votes. ==> But the boycott means that even if he achieves that, he may not be able to form a government. Because of the boycott, candidates from Mr Thaksin's Thai Rak Thai party stood unopposed in many seats. BUT according to the Thai constitution, all 500 parliamentary seats must be filled for the lower house to convene, but in some seats unopposed Thai Rak Thai candidates are unlikely to achieve the 20% of the vote necessary to be accepted as legitimate MPs. <===

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As the poll is closed (as far as I can see from 5575 miles away) I dare to copy some lines, broadcasted by BBC 5 minutes ago, - just as I've learnt by phone that in some regions in the North East of Thailand TV cannot be seen for a few hours due tue heavy thunderstorms having damaged some transmission units:

BBC {Correspondents: Alex, Brighton (UK) }

==> Thais await crunch poll outcome <==

* Analysts say Mr Thaksin's political troubles could be far from over

Votes are being counted in the Thai general election, ==> as early indications suggest abstentions outnumbered votes for the prime minister in some areas. Thaksin Shinawatra was reported to be trailing the "no vote" in parts of the capital Bangkok, although rural support from him is expected to be strong. <==

The PM called the election - boycotted by the three main opposition parties - to try to end protests against him. Mr Thaksin says he will step down if his party fails to win 50% of votes. ==> But the boycott means that even if he achieves that, he may not be able to form a government. Because of the boycott, candidates from Mr Thaksin's Thai Rak Thai party stood unopposed in many seats. BUT according to the Thai constitution, all 500 parliamentary seats must be filled for the lower house to convene, but in some seats unopposed Thai Rak Thai candidates are unlikely to achieve the 20% of the vote necessary to be accepted as legitimate MPs. <===

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>> Chris - I am scoping every possible but Thailand obviously does not support things like "online-Follw-up" of the counting. Just several people from my "home village" in the northeast, do report that even in those former "Taxin-areas" many people wore black bands around their wrists, - so that really might give an indication ....

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The fallout continues. Thaksin is speaking on TV as I write. In almost all of Bangkok, Thaksin was "defeated" by abstain votes, and in the south. What happens next is anyone's guess. If Thaksin stays on, I think more trouble looms ahead. If he were to resign and name a successor, I think the entire problem would be solved instantly. But the man is too much of an egomaniac for that to happen I think.

Tune in tomorow.

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Dear Mike, thanks a lot for the update. Actually (2 a.m. local time) the German TV starts reporting about the Thai elections - first time ever. I am surprised to learn that our German journalist, who normally tend to be very careful and rarely critizise foreign politicians, actually put Toxin into the samecategory, in which all the real bad guys are in (means George W. and the heads of Belarus, Kongo, North Korea, Angola and such), means leaders, who neither understand nor respect sovereignity and/or democracy .....

Let's hope he steps down before more rage is taken on to the streets.

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