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Why events in Libya - not the revolt, but the insurgence which has moved in war The Libyan society consists of 26 clans. Ghaddafi united them by the rigid control and distribution of incomes of oil. Thus in Cyrenaica (which centre is Bengasi) latently remained separatism, but the management of clans considered that they may receive more incomes. So - really Kaddafi supervised only iceberg top, I think, he did not supervise all situation, at all his desire for it is impossible, to take and unite, creating a new state. Therefore the rim of the centralisation, softened by social welfare pillow, in due course has burst. I note - that compared with Egypt, Tunisia, Algyria, Yemen, - in Libya there was not poverty. Many oil, small population, cheap prices, first classes ways, some cars in every family, government subsidies, high level of education - it was Libya before 17. February 2011. I know people, who have visited Libya. Libya as a tidbit, are interested by some western countries. Judging by persistence - it is France and Britain, maybe Italia, which trying to solve their problems by the US arms. US don't want to interference, because they stuck in Afghanistan and Iraq, and maybe in the next time will need the intervention in the Persian Gulf (Qatar, Bahrein, Saudia) and Yemen. I consider, the external factors - somehow promises of the West promoted for heads of separate clans in the east of Libya, the financial help to them. The clans system suggests obedience of rank-and-file members of a clan to its elders. Yesterday the Council of Elders has declared that supports Kaddafi - the clan supported, today The Elders has guarantees from outside the West - the clan has told to be at war, and all its rank-and-file members automatic have changed a position. And, probably, militaries belonging to rebellious clans, officials, have joined at once to the opposition party, to incurgence. Plus, probably, the West worked also individually with someone from officials or military persons. In the case of defeat of Kaddafi, Libya will be a country of half-civilised tribes, as in Afghanistan.