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2010 Arctic Ice Update


Bruce551

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Where on Earth is it unusually warm? Greenland and the Arctic Ocean, which is full of rotten ice.

 

The multiyear ice covering the Arctic Ocean has effectively vanished….

'I would argue that, from a practical perspective, we almost have a seasonally ice-free Arctic now, because multiyear sea ice is the barrier to the use and development of the Arctic,” said Barber [Canada's Research Chair in Arctic System Science at the University of Manitoba].

 

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Where on Earth is it unusually warm? Greenland and the Arctic Ocean, which is full of rotten ice.

 

The multiyear ice covering the Arctic Ocean has effectively vanished….

'I would argue that, from a practical perspective, we almost have a seasonally ice-free Arctic now, because multiyear sea ice is the barrier to the use and development of the Arctic,” said Barber [Canada's Research Chair in Arctic System Science at the University of Manitoba].

 

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Jerry, Walruses, In a phenomenon first reported by the Alaska Dispatch on Saturday, from 10,000 to 20,000 mother walruses and their calves are taking to the land a few miles down the coast from the bucolic burg of Point Lay, Alaska. Because there's no sea ice.

Rebecca Noblin, of the Center for Biological Diversity, which just released a report on 17 Arctic species hit hard by the shrinking ice and concomitant rise in ocean levels that are clearly attributable to climate change, noted that "Unless we dramatically reduce our greenhouse emissions, the walrus is on a trajectory toward extinction."

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lets not forget that scientist just discovered that they over estimated the melt rate by 50%....oooops.

So far there is no direct link between greenhouse emissions and climate change. Remember there have been many ice ages throughout the history of the world. This is evidence that the earth naturally warms and cools.

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yea primetime keep telling yourself this. @ Bruce Some penguin species are facing the same problem as Antarctica's climate is changing so fast. I guess if its all natural like primetime says we are destined to be extinct soon....

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-->Primetime your full of BS....

This post by physicist John Cook was first published in Skeptical Science .

The NOAA State of the Climate 2009 [4] report is an excellent summary of the many lines of evidence that global warming is happening. Acknowledging the fact that the planet is warming leads to the all important question: What’s causing global warming? To answer this, here is a summary of the empirical evidence that answer this question. Many different observations find a distinct human fingerprint on climate change:

To get a closer look, click on the pic above to get a high-rez 1024×768 version [1] (you’re all welcome to use this graphic in your Powerpoint presentations). Or to dig even deeper, here’s more info on each indicator (including links to the original data or peer-reviewed research):

1. Humans are currently emitting around 30 billion tonnes of CO2 into the atmosphere (CDIAC [5]). Of course, it could be coincidence that CO2 levels are rising so sharply at the same time so let’s look at more evidence that we’re responsible for the rise in CO2 levels.

2. When we measure the type of carbon accumulating in the atmosphere, we observe more of the type of carbon that comes from fossil fuels (Manning 2006 [6]).

3. This is corroborated by measurements of oxygen in the atmosphere. Oxygen levels are falling in line with the amount of carbon dioxide rising, just as you’d expect from fossil fuel burning which takes oxygen out of the air to create carbon dioxide (Manning 2006 [6]).

4. Further independent evidence that humans are raising CO2 levels comes from measurements of carbon found in coral records going back several centuries. These find a recent sharp rise in the type of carbon that comes from fossil fuels (Pelejero 2005 [7]).

5. So we know humans are raising CO2 levels. What’s the effect? Satellites measure less heat escaping out to space, at the particular wavelengths that CO2 absorbs heat, thus finding “direct experimental evidence for a significant increase in the Earth’s greenhouse effectâ€. (Harries 2001 [8], Griggs 2004 [9], Chen 2007 [10]).

6. If less heat is escaping to space, where is it going? Back to the Earth’s surface. Surface measurements confirm this, observing more downward infrared radiation (Philipona 2004 [11], Wang 2009 [12]). A closer look at the downward radiation finds more heat returning at CO2 wavelengths, leading to the conclusion that “this experimental data should effectively end the argument by skeptics that no experimental evidence exists for the connection between greenhouse gas increases in the atmosphere and global warming.†(Evans 2006 [13]).

7. If an increased greenhouse effect is causing global warming, we should see certain patterns in the warming. For example, the planet should warm faster at night than during the day. This is indeed being observed (Braganza 2004 [14], Alexander 2006 [15]).

8. Another distinctive pattern of greenhouse warming is cooling in the upper atmosphere, otherwise known as the stratosphere. This is exactly what’s happening (Jones 2003 [16]).

9. With the lower atmosphere (the troposphere) warming and the upper atmosphere (the stratophere) cooling, another consequence is the boundary between the troposphere and stratophere, otherwise known as the tropopause, should rise as a consequence of greenhouse warming. This has been observed (Santer 2003 [17]).

10. An even higher layer of the atmosphere, the ionosphere, is expected to cool and contract in response to greenhouse warming. This has been observed by satellites (Laštovi?ka 2006 [18]).

Science isn’t a house of cards, ready to topple if you remove one line of evidence. Instead, it’s like a jigsaw puzzle. As the body of evidence builds, we get a clearer picture of what’s driving our climate. We now have many lines of evidence all pointing to a single, consistent answer – the main driver of global warming is rising carbon dioxide levels from our fossil fuel burning.

– John Cook, Skeptical Science [3].

JR: I would add that, as science adviser John Holdren often points out, in order to refute the theory of human-caused global warming, you would not merely have to come up with an alternate explanation for all of the above observed changes. You would have to figure out what unknown factor was blocking or negating greenhouse gases from causing them.

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Thanks Bruce - yes we are f**ked - I actually think its too late for us, and even if we were able to stop the idiotic destruction of the planet by man right now, the natural inertia will drive the changes to continue quite a while.

My heartbreak is not for the planet as such - by that I dont mean we do nothing, rather that I have immense faith in our earth that nature will just rebalance - the heartbreak is that we, or our kids, may not be part of that rebalance...

The only hope is to take action to reduce the effects as much as possible so that we, or our kids, can still have a chance to fit in somehow.

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