Bruce551 Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 Final Projection: Obama 349, McCain 189 It's Tuesday, November 4th, 2008, Election Day in America. The last polls have straggled in, and show little sign of mercy for John McCain. Barack Obama appears poised for a decisive electoral victory. Our model projects that Obama will win all states won by John Kerry in 2004, in addition to Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Virginia, Nevada, Florida and North Carolina, while narrowly losing Missouri and Indiana. These states total 353 electoral votes. Our official projection, which looks at these outcomes probabilistically -- for instance, assigns North Carolina's 15 electoral votes to Obama 59 percent of the time -- comes up with an incrementally more conservative projection of 348.6 electoral votes. We also project Obama to win the popular vote by 6.1 points; his lead is slightly larger than that in the polls now, but our model accounts for the fact that candidates with large leads in the polls typically underperform their numbers by a small margin on Election Day. ***Big voter turnout, long lines, some voting machine screw-ups. From: The Plank Blog, New Republic :arrow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce551 Posted November 4, 2008 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 Gary Kamiya (5:40 pm EST): MSNBC just reported the first exit polls (of priorities, not votes). 62% of voters polled said the economy was their biggest concern, 10% the war in Iraq, 9% for terrorism. What's interesting is that only 35% said they approve of the war in Iraq (that has to be one of the lowest figures ever) while 71% said they were concerned about terrorism. Besides the economy, this is one of the biggest reasons that Obama stands on the verge of a landslide: the voters have totally rejected the GOP's specious claim that the war in Iraq is the "front line of the war on terror." Salon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce551 Posted November 4, 2008 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 National Exit Poll Data....First Takes... 04 Nov 2008 05:14 pm 76% of the country believes it's off on the wrong track. Bush's approval rating is 27% More than 60% say the economy is their top voting issue; 9 in ten say the economy is in bad shape; more than 80% are worried about their own condition next year. Change voters made up 35% of the electorate; 30% wanted someone who shared their values. One in ten voters are late-deciders.. And CNN tells us that of those who listed Iraq as a key issue, Obama's leading two to one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Treborz Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 woooooooooooooo Go Obama!!!!!! *Remembers he's not american* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce551 Posted November 5, 2008 Author Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 Election Graphic 9:30 Thai Time I think Obama will win Ohio and Florida, if he does, he's the President It is a little sad to see American so divided. It is very hard for me to understand why people would vote Republican after the Bush years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
condotown Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 Election Graphic 9:30 Thai Time I think Obama will win Ohio and Florida, if he does, he's the President According to the graphic, he doesn't need Ohio or Florida.... He is already over 270. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PosH Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 That's fault ... He is not over 270 yet even he already won Ohio ... He only now 207 and Macdaddy is 141 ... I think I'm going to be up till 5 am tomorrow !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zeusbheld Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 it's pretty much done and dusted. Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire have already been called for Obama, McCain can't win without Ohio. also, it's looking good for Obama in Florida and Virginia. and most importantly, that shrill harpie Elizabeth Dole is out in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PosH Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 He will be our new President for sure but we still waiting for ID and WC ... I can't hardly wait!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PosH Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 I'm on top of the world!!!! Obama is our new President!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CocoaBrotha Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBJE Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 Quite an emphatic close to a historic campaign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eagle Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 It feels great to have Bush gone and republicans out but I'm waiting to see how congress and the senate stack up. Dam I do feel relief but the damage Bush and his criminal buddies have done is huge. At least for now I feel people have some power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruce551 Posted November 5, 2008 Author Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 What a relief, speechless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andy_bkk Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 Being president was never as easy as this time. Obama was basically GUARANTEED all black and hispanic votes due to race plus half of the white votes because of the Bush disaster plus a weak republican opponent. But congratulations to him, he is an intelligent and dominant speaker. Hopefully he can lead the US into a better future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eagle Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 Being president was never as easy as this time. Obama was basically GUARANTEED all black and hispanic votes due to race plus half of the white votes because of the Bush disaster plus a weak republican opponent.But congratulations to him, he is an intelligent and dominant speaker. Hopefully he can lead the US into a better future. I think Obama won because he talks intelligently and has good ideas. Sorry but if he was a black assh*le he wouldn't have gotten elected just because he is "black". It was time for the republicans to go besides they stole all the money and left things in a ruin, they were done :roll: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zeusbheld Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 Being president was never as easy as this time. Obama was basically GUARANTEED all black and hispanic votes due to race plus half of the white votes because of the Bush disaster plus a weak republican opponent.But congratulations to him, he is an intelligent and dominant speaker. Hopefully he can lead the US into a better future. McCain is actually the strongest candidate the Republicans could have hoped for after the Bush trainwreck. the economy tanking guaranteed him little or no chance, as the Bush administration, HIS PARTY, were holding the smoking gun. FYI do your homework; hispanics are typically social conservatives and do NOT consider themselves African American. its' more their horror at the trainwreck of Republican immigration policy that guaranteed they'd vote for any Dem with a pulse. the short story of this year: thanks to Dubya, the Repubs just alienated far too many people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andy_bkk Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 McCain is actually the strongest candidate the Republicans could have hoped for after the Bush trainwreck. the economy tanking guaranteed him little or no chance, as the Bush administration, HIS PARTY, were holding the smoking gun. If McCain wa sthe strongest candidate they could come up with it shows you how weak this republican opponent was. FYI do your homework; hispanics are typically social conservatives and do NOT consider themselves African American. Right, I exclude hispanics from my statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zeusbheld Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 McCain is actually the strongest candidate the Republicans could have hoped for after the Bush trainwreck. the economy tanking guaranteed him little or no chance, as the Bush administration, HIS PARTY, were holding the smoking gun. If McCain wa sthe strongest candidate they could come up with it shows you how weak this republican opponent was. EXACTLY. not McCain's fault so much, although he DID run a particularly inept campaign (an endorsement from **** "Mr. Popular" Cheney THREE DAYS before the election?? WTF???). they should thank Dubya for that. they'd have had to resurrect Dwight D Eisenhower to have had a realistic shot once the economy tanked. maybe that wouldn't be enough, they might have had to go for Teddy Roosevelt, or even Lincoln. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJTX Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 McCain is actually the strongest candidate the Republicans could have hoped for after the Bush trainwreck. the economy tanking guaranteed him little or no chance, as the Bush administration, HIS PARTY, were holding the smoking gun.. I agree. It's almost like 'who would want the job' after Bush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zeusbheld Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 well i guess there was something to all that talk about "the One." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJTX Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 It feels great to have Bush gone and republicans out but I'm waiting to see how congress and the senate stack up. Dam I do feel relief but the damage Bush and his criminal buddies have done is huge. At least for now I feel people have some power. Back not too long ago the Republicans had both Congress and the Presidency. Many people said 'ok, let's give them a chance - see what they can do". Well, we know the results. The Republicans (who are supposed to be fiscal conservatives) spent more money than the Democrats. And the rest is history... Now we have the Democrats in control of Congress and the Presidency. OK, so let's see what they can do (ah, f*ck up)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karnie Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 well i guess there was something to all that talk about "the One." 8) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chriswilliam Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 a big day the mixed race is very good ( barrack half white and half black )..no the black power but mixed race power ..lol :wink: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loburt Posted November 5, 2008 Report Share Posted November 5, 2008 McCain is actually the strongest candidate the Republicans could have hoped for after the Bush trainwreck. the economy tanking guaranteed him little or no chance, as the Bush administration, HIS PARTY, were holding the smoking gun. If McCain wa sthe strongest candidate they could come up with it shows you how weak this republican opponent was. EXACTLY. not McCain's fault so much, although he DID run a particularly inept campaign (an endorsement from **** "Mr. Popular" Cheney THREE DAYS before the election?? WTF???). they should thank Dubya for that. they'd have had to resurrect Dwight D Eisenhower to have had a realistic shot once the economy tanked. maybe that wouldn't be enough, they might have had to go for Teddy Roosevelt, or even Lincoln. A Whig would have stood a better chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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